France parliamentary elections (second round - 07/07): left-wing alliance claims "surprise" plurality of seats, can combine with centrists for majority

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

EU elections: significant far-right gains in Germany and France, exit polls show | European parliamentary elections 2024 | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Strong showing for AfD in Germany while Marine Le Pen’s party set to win again in France with better score

 

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Far-right parties in France and Germany have made striking gains in the European parliament elections, exit polls showed, as data trickled in before official results later on Sunday.

 

The success of the far right in the EU’s two largest member states comes ahead of expected gains for the hard-right Brothers of Italy party of the Italian prime minister, Giorgia Meloni.

 

Although the centre-right alliance has taken a decisive lead in Germany, exit polls indicate the far-right Alternative für Deutschland has made significant gains, while the governing Greens and Social Democrats has slumped.

 

In France, exit polls suggest Marine Le Pen’s far-right party is on course for first place for the third successive European election in a row, with a better score than in 2019. National Rally (RN) was forecast to take a 32.4% share of the vote, well ahead of President Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance group on 15%. In 2019 there was less than a percentage point between the two.

 

 

 

🔴 Live: France’s Macron calls new legislative elections over projected far-right EU victory

WWW.FRANCE24.COM

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French President Emmanuel Macron on Sunday announced he was dissolving the lower house of parliament and called for new legislative elections after projected results showed his camp losing heavily to…

 

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French President Emmanuel Macron on Sunday announced he was dissolving parliament and called snap legislative elections after the far-right was projected to have trounced his centrist alliance in EU polls.The French far-right National Rally (RN) inflicted a heavy defeat on Macron's, scoring more than double the number of votes of the head of state's centrist alliance, projections indicated. 

 

[CitizenVectron]

Not good.

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

4 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said:

Not good.

 

Overall, the pro-EU center-right will retain its current status as the largest single bloc, but nowhere near an absolutely majority.

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

Far right makes strong gains in EU elections as liberals and Greens lose seats, early data shows

WWW.CNBC.COM

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Populist, far-right parties have won record support in this year's European Parliament elections, early exit polls indicated Sunday.

 

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Populist, far-right parties won record support in this year’s European Parliament elections, early exit polls and estimates indicated on Sunday.

 

The far-right Identity and Democracy group made major gains, while the right-wing European Conservatives and Reformists saw a slight uptick in votes, according to the first official projection released by the EU at 8:30 p.m. local time.

 

The center-right European People’s Party was once again projected to win the most parliamentary seats, with a marginally bigger lead than before. Allied centrist groups — of which the EPP is the largest — were set to retain a majority in the Parliament despite the far right’s surge.

 

The liberal Renew Europe and the Greens/European Free Alliance, meanwhile, were both set to lose a significant number of seats.

 

 

[Massdriver]

Looks really bad in France. 
 

From what I read the ultra right wing parties don’t all agree on Ukraine, so at least that issue is preserved. Centrist parties have a majority overall. 

[Uaarkson]

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

Who won, who lost and who screwed up in the EU election – POLITICO

WWW.POLITICO.EU

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The far right had a good night. Others not so much.

 

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One thing is certain after Sunday’s European Parliament election: Not everybody will be celebrating.

 

While the right gained in strength, greens and liberals had a rough night. French President Emmanuel Macron took such a beating he immediately dissolved the national parliament and called a new election.

 

Here’s POLITICO’s guide to who will be bouncing out of bed and who will be waking up to a living nightmare.

 

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

To follow up, this is the guy the Le Pen's party has designated as their prime ministerial candidate (Le Pen herself will not be the PM designate):

 

Jordan Bardella: the 28-year-old 'captain' of France's far-right party

WWW.FRANCE24.COM

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Jordan Bardella, the far-right party leader who inflicted a stinging defeat on President Emmanuel Macron's alliance in European elections, is a self-confident 28-year-old hailed by supporters as a political…

 

[AbsolutSurgen]

As someone who barely follows European politics, am I missing something?

Isn't the European parliament still firmly in control of centrist parties?

It skews more right than before, but certainly doesn't look to be in control of the far right.

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

7 minutes ago, AbsolutSurgen said:

As someone who barely follows European politics, am I missing something?

Isn't the European parliament still firmly in control of centrist parties?

It skews more right than before, but certainly doesn't look to be in control of the far right.

 

No, you're absolutely correct that the centrist parties still form the majority of the European parliament.  However, the increased share of the populist right as a bloc means that the European parliament could become even more ineffective/dysfunctional as a governing body which in turn will feed the anti-EU sentiments of the populist right at a national level.

[TUFKAK]

Buying in Greece to get residency looking like a dumb ass idea now 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

Of course, Macron decided to call these snap elections just before Paris is set to host the Olympics 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/france-enters-election-mode-after-far-right-win-european-parliament-vote-2024-06-10/

 

 

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The far-right National Rally was forecast on Monday to win a snap election in France but fall short of an absolute majority in the first opinion poll published after President Emmanuel Macron's shock decision to dissolve parliament.

 

Following a massive loss for his Renaissance party in Sunday's European Parliament election, Macron announced snap elections for the lower house of parliament, with the first round scheduled for June 30, less than three weeks away, and the run-off on July 7.

 

Marine Le Pen's anti-immigration, eurosceptic National Rally party, known as RN, would win 235 to 265 seats in the National Assembly, a huge jump from its current 88 but short of the 289 needed for an absolute majority, according to the survey by Toluna Harris Interactive for Challenges, M6 and RTL.

 

Macron's centrist alliance would see its number of lawmakers possibly halve, from 250 to 125-155, the poll showed on Monday. Leftwing parties could together control 115 to 145 seats, though each party could run on its own.

 

 

[Greatoneshere]

This article from December 2022 feels more relevant than ever now that we're seeing the fallout of that momentum.

 

Hungary, Poland, Italy, Sweden, France: the right-wing threats to liberal democracy in Europe - Vox

WWW.VOX.COM

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Five countries to watch as the European right made new gains in 2022.

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

35 minutes ago, Greatoneshere said:

This article from December 2022 feels more relevant than ever now that we're seeing the fallout of that momentum.

 

Hungary, Poland, Italy, Sweden, France: the right-wing threats to liberal democracy in Europe - Vox

WWW.VOX.COM

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Five countries to watch as the European right made new gains in 2022.

 

 

Now, funnily enough, the populist right parties underperformed relative to expectations in the EU elections in Sweden (4th place) and Hungary.

 

Also, the populist right party in Poland lost national power to the pro-EU center-right party earlier this year.

[Greatoneshere]

32 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

Now, funnily enough, the populist right parties underperformed relative to expectations in the EU elections in Sweden (4th place) and Hungary.

 

Also, the populist right party in Poland lost national power to the pro-EU center-right party earlier this year.

 

Well it's something at least, perhaps a few years down the line we'll see the same happen in these countries from these most recent events take a turn.

[stepee]

I’m just going to get my own island 

[Spork3245]

 

Seems appropriate 

[TUFKAK]

Would 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

And heading into this weekend's first round of legislative elections in France...

 

Far-right National Rally strengthening in final polls ahead of vote | France | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Marine Le Pen’s party has pledged to boost spending power, slash immigration and restore law and order

 

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The far-right National Rally (RN) has strengthened in final polls, including one suggesting it could be on course for a historic parliamentary majority, as candidates fought for votes on the last day of campaigning before the first-round ballot in France’s most momentous election for decades.

 

Two days before Sunday’s ballot, two polls on Friday showed Marine Le Pen’s anti-immigration, France-first party pulling steadily further ahead in a race it has led since President Emmanuel Macron called the shock ballot almost three weeks ago after the defeat of his centrists in the European parliamentary election.

 

Official campaigning for the first round vote ends at midnight on Friday, with no political activity allowed on Saturday. Campaigning resumes on Monday for a final five days before a decisive second round ballot on 7 July in which the party could take control of France’s government for the first time.

 

One poll, for Les Echos newspaper, showed RN could win 37% of the national vote, two points more than a week ago, while another, for BFM TV, estimated the far-right party was on course for 260-295 seats – potentially giving it an outright majority.

 

RN, which has pledged to boost spending power, slash immigration and restore law and order, “cannot only envisage a relative majority, but we cannot exclude – far from it – an absolute majority” of 289 deputies, Brice Teinturier, the deputy director of a third polling agency, Ipsos, told Agence France-Presse.

 

The New Popular Front (NFP), a broad but fractious leftwing alliance dominated by the Unbowed France (LFI) of the veteran radical left firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon, was on 28%, and Macron’s centrist bloc, known as Together, on 20%.

 

 

[CitizenVectron]

The right wing is also going to certainly win a majority in Canada next year, as well.

[Uaarkson]

Everything is ultimately France’s fault anyway.

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

The UK will probably be the only major Western nation with a "slightly" left-of-center government by this time next year.

[stepee]

Well London not looking so bad all the sudden 

[Ricofoley]

16 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

The UK will probably be the only major Western nation with a "slightly" left-of-center government by this time next year.

 

 

[Siebzehn]

17 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

The UK will probably be the only major Western nation with a "slightly" left-of-center government by this time next year.

Spain?

[SuperSpreader]

27 minutes ago, Siebzehn said:

Spain?

[TUFKAK]

1 hour ago, Siebzehn said:

Spain?

Major western. 😂

[Siebzehn]

9 minutes ago, TUFKAK said:

Major western. 😂

Australia?

 

I guess it all depends on how one defines Western because then you have Brazil and Mexico

[SuperSpreader]

1 minute ago, Siebzehn said:

Australia?

 

I guess it all depends on how one defines Western because then you have Brazil and Mexico

 

He's not laughing at Western he's laughing at Major

[Siebzehn]

3 minutes ago, SuperSpreader said:

 

He's not laughing at Western he's laughing at Major

I'm aware

[SuperSpreader]

[Siebzehn]

Just now, SuperSpreader said:

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

2 hours ago, Siebzehn said:

Spain?

 

The Sanchez government is hanging on by a thread.

[Greatoneshere]

I don't understand how conservative governments keep getting elected into power. With more old people dying every year and more young people becoming eligible to vote every year one would think governments would be getting more liberal, not less. 

 

Are there a lot of young die-hard conservatives out there? I know there are some, but enough for clear landslide elections in all these countries? It's strange to me, not sure what I'm missing here. Most young people I see online or in real life are very progressive, moreso than previous generations on average as people get conservative the older the get, not younger. So what's the deal? I know there was an article recently that said Gen X'ers are more conservative than Boomers even, so is it them doing this? They're in the right age bracket to be old and in power in politics at least.