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UK General Election Thread - update (07/04): Labour landslide victory with 412 seats to 121 for the Tories


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  • 2 weeks later...

From the YouGov polling firm:

 

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Our first MRP of the 2024 general election shows Labour winning a majority of 194, larger than even Tony Blair's landslides

 

Labour: 422 (+220 from GE2019)
Conservative: 140 (-225)
Lib Dem: 48 (+37)
SNP: 17 (-31)
Green: 2 (+1)
PC: 2 (-2)
Reform UK: 0 (=)

 

 

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A couple more polls:

 

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Labour lead widens to twenty-three points in our latest results.
Con 25% (+2)
Lab 48% (+3)
Lib Dem 10% (+1)
Reform 9% (-1)
SNP 2% (-1)
Green 4% (-2)
Other 3% (-)
Fieldwork: 31st May - 3rd June 2024
Sample: 1,077 GB adults
(Changes from 23rd-25th May 2024)

 

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NEW: @RestisPolitics/JLP poll, 31st May-2nd June

 

*Labour lead up to 17 points*

 

Change on last week in brackets

LAB: 43% (+3)
CON: 26% (-2)
REF: 12% (-)
LDEM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 3% (-2)

 

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  • Commissar SFLUFAN changed the title to UK General Election Thread (July 4) - new polls suggest a bloody landslide for Labour
15 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

If these polls are remotely accurate, then it genuinely appears that the Scottish National Party will effectively cease to exist.

 

Absolutely crazy that they came within a hair's breadth of Scottish independence, to total collapse.

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  • Commissar SFLUFAN changed the title to UK General Election Thread (July 4) - new polls suggest a bloody landslide for Labour, extinction for the SNP
1 minute ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

And it was all self-inflicted due to scandal after scandal.

 

This just tells me that without Europe and the US, Great Britain as a political entity is completely worthless. 

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32 minutes ago, Jwheel86 said:

Sunak's campaign can't get off the ground apparently because his staff keep leaving to run for seats vacated by Tories MPs running for the hills. 

 

Also, because Farage changed his mind and decided to run rather than spend all of his time over here stumping for Trump, the Tory leadership is highly terrified that it might encourage some of their more hardline members to jump ship and join his Reform party.

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39 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

Farage had a milkshake tossed in his face today:

 

GPO5NdzX0AAgoT3?format=jpg&name=large

 

These milkshake throwers really need to learn to go for better flavors to throw. Cookies & Cream would result in the person getting pegged by tons of cookie bits that are much harder to scrub off with a towel. 

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1 hour ago, GeneticBlueprint said:

I mean she's smiling in the picture where she's throwing it, right? Her eyes look like she's smiling. Most people doing it for real aren't smiling in that situation.


I’d probably smile throwing a rock at Farage if I’m honest. 

  • Sicko 1
  • Sicko Sherman 1
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12 hours ago, CitizenVectron said:

New polls show Labour at 500+ seats, with the next-closest party at 45. It's a bloodbath. 

 

Extinction level event for the Tories too then? :Sherman:

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13 hours ago, CitizenVectron said:

New polls show Labour at 500+ seats, with the next-closest party at 45. It's a bloodbath. 


The d-day fuck up, the endless WhatsApp leaks to the press about unhappy back (and front) bench politicians, the fact that the tories took a day off from the media, then their big coup was a 2:40 video that explained that labour need to tax people…has not been great for them. We’re closer to the time I can vote labour and win for the first time in my voting life…then I can vote green.

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57 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

Say what you will about our stupid electoral system but fptp with multiple viable parties seems worse

 

We should just revert to moistened bints lobbing scimitars at people. 

  • True 1
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WWW.REUTERS.COM

 

Oh god. 

 

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LONDON, June 13 (Reuters) - Nigel Farage's Reform UK Party overtook Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's Conservatives in an opinion poll for the first time on Thursday ahead of Britain's election on July 4.


The poll by YouGov for the Times newspaper put Reform UK on 19%, up from 17% previously, and the Conservative Party unchanged on 18%. The opposition Labour Party topped the poll with 37%.

 

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WWW.REUTERS.COM

 

 

Quote

 

Three British opinion polls released late on Saturday presented a grim picture for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's Conservative Party, and one pollster warned that the party faced "electoral extinction" in July 4's election.

 

The polls come just over halfway through the election campaign, after a week in which both the Conservatives and Labour set out their manifestos, and shortly before voters begin to receive postal ballots.

 

 

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Market research company Savanta found 46% support for Keir Starmer's Labour Party, up 2 points on the previous poll five days earlier, while support for the Conservatives dropped 4 points to 21%.

 

The poll was conducted from June 12 to June 14 for the Sunday Telegraph.

 

Labour's 25-point lead was the largest since the premiership of Sunak's predecessor, Liz Truss, whose tax cut plans prompted investors to dump British government bonds, pushing up interest rates and forcing a Bank of England intervention.

 

"Our research suggests that this election could be nothing short of electoral extinction for the Conservative Party," Chris Hopkins, political research director at Savanta, said.

 

A separate poll by Survation, published by the Sunday Times, predicted the Conservatives could end up with just 72 seats in the 650-member House of Commons - the lowest in their nearly 200-year history - while Labour would win 456 seats.

 

The poll was conducted from May 31 to June 13.

 

In percentage terms, the Survation poll had Labour on 40% and the Conservatives on 24%, while former Brexit campaigner Nigel Farage's Reform UK party - a right-wing challenger to the Conservatives - was on 12%.

 

A third poll, by Opinium for Sunday's Observer and conducted from June 12 to June 14, also showed Labour on 40%, the Conservatives on 23% and Reform on 14%, with the two largest parties yielding ground to smaller rivals.

 

 

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  • Commissar SFLUFAN changed the title to UK General Election Thread (July 4) - update (06/15): new polls indicate electoral "extinction" for the Tories

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