Rock the Vote '24: update (09/26) - JD Vance VP vetting dossier now available for download

[PaladinSolo]

I think it just boils down to the NYTs making sure they don't undercount the GOP this time around, all their polls are pretty heavy R samples, even the ones Harris is up on, the problem really seems to be with their unaffiliated samples, going from +24 Harris last time to +9 Harris in the AZ poll, a 10 point swing from before the debate in the opposite direction literally every other poll has gone, but its not a bad thing just means they aren't fudging their results.

[PaladinSolo]

State Sen. Mike McDonnell deflates GOP hopes for Nebraska winner-take-all in 2024 • Nebraska Examiner

NEBRASKAEXAMINER.COM

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State Sen. Mike McDonnell announced he won't back the GOP push to change how Nebraska awards its Electoral College votes to winner-take-all.

Looks like the GOPs hope to change the EV allocation in Nebraska is doomed.

[PaladinSolo]

Wisconsin Presidential Polling:

Harris (D): 53%

Trump (R): 46%

 

MassINC / Sept 18, 2024 / n=800

 

Like this is probably too rosy of a picture for Harris in WI from another A+ pollster.

[LazyPiranha]

41 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

The Republican Governors' Association has given up on North Carolina and will not be spending any further money on that race.

 

 

Can you believe the fake news that lying CNN is putting out about that guy running under our banner in North Carolina whose name we don’t recall and who won’t get another penny of our money?  Filthy shameless lies about whatshisface, Robert something probably, such awful fake news and election interference.  

[osxmatt]

1 hour ago, Signifyin(g)Monkey said:

More evidence we are living in the end times.

 

Polls Find Trump Shows Signs of Strength in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina - The New York Times

WWW.NYTIMES.COM

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New polls from The New York Times and Siena College showed Donald J. Trump ahead in Arizona and leading in tight races in Georgia and North Carolina.

 

The polls in these states are fluctuating wildly, and there's some copium in the fact that the averages on 538 and Nate Silver's models still favor Harris but seriously after everything Trump's done, just in the past few weeks, this is looney tunes.

 

I recently found out I’ll be relocating to Arizona for work. Unfortunately it won’t be until mid November, so my vote will be in Oregon. But at least you’ll have two more in the bank going forward (my wife and I)!

[SaysWho?]

Not a doubt in my mind that poll will get more attention than anything else that came out, though I feel this board is processing it better instead of either dismissing it outright or otherwise. Good reminder:

 

Quote

It’s up to us to remember what Kamala’s mother told her: “Don’t just sit around and complain. Do something.” So if they lie about her—and they will—we’ve got to do something. If we see a bad poll—and we will—we’ve got to put down that phone and do something. If we start feeling tired, if we start feeling that dread creeping back in, we gotta pick ourselves up, throw water on our face, and what? Do something.

 

 

 

[Xbob42]

I'm hoping polls like that keep all the "Harris is doing fine, I can skip voting" people from doing just that. 

[Spork3245]

F

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

I'm going to be really, really honest.

 

I absolutely freakin' despise those Simpsons memes.  It's to the point where I feel my blood pressure start to spike when I see them.

 

Not only do I not find them humorous in the least, but I genuinely get the sense that they're contributing to the "normalization" of the behavior that they're supposed to lampooning.

 

So, I have a simple request - if they're going to be continued to be posted here, please put them in a spoiler.

[Spork3245]

2 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

I'm going to be really, really honest.

 

I absolutely freakin' despise those Simpsons memes.  It's to the point where I feel my blood pressure start to spike when I see them.

 

Not only do I not find them humorous in the least, but I genuinely get the sense that they're contributing to the "normalization" of the behavior that they're supposed to lampooning.

 

So, I have a simple request - if they're going to be continued to be posted here, please put them in a spoiler.

I JUST WANT TO SPREAD JOY, DAMN IT

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

Just now, Spork3245 said:

I JUST WANT TO SPREAD JOY, DAMN IT

 

You can spread that particular "joy" or whatever with a spoiler tag!

[Spork3245]

4 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

You can spread that particular "joy" or whatever with a spoiler tag!

I didn’t say I wouldn’t
TBF, it’s not trying to normalize the behavior of Trump and his rhetoric: it’s calling out his jackassery and mocking him. The few who attempt to make pro-Trump/Republican memes on where I get the ones I don’t make myself from more-or-less get tar and feathered, then chased off with a pitchfork.

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

Just now, Spork3245 said:

I didn’t say I wouldn’t
TBF, it’s not trying to normalize the behavior of Trump and his rhetoric: it’s calling out his jackassery and mocking him. The few who attempt to make pro-Trump/Republican memes on where I get these from (the ones I don’t make myself, at least) more-or-less get tar and feathered, then chased off with a pitchfork.

 

I know that it's not trying to, but my understanding is that there is evidence that "memefication" of behaviors -- even behaviors that those memes are intended to mock -- leads to normalization through repetition. 

[Spork3245]

2 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

I know that it's not trying to, but my understanding is that there is evidence that "memefication" of behaviors -- even behaviors that those memes are intended to mock -- leads to normalization through repetition. 

Well, it’s normalizing me laughing at it, does that count?  

[SuperSpreader]

Quick. Switch to family guy memes

[Spork3245]

1 minute ago, SuperSpreader said:

Quick. Switch to family guy memes

I’d do American Dad way before Family Guy honestly  

[Massdriver]

3 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

Why the hell isn't this Harris instead?!?

 

Joe Biden To Guest On ‘The View’ On Wednesday

DEADLINE.COM

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Joe Biden will be an in-studio guest on ABC's The View on Wednesday, in the first live appearance by a sitting president on the show.

 

No town halls either. I’m not sure what her campaign is thinking. 

[b_m_b_m_b_m]

3 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

There's some really odd data in the crosstabs (Harris losing 20 points with women, for example) that prompted NYT's Nate Cohn to say, "Huh - that's weird."

even if it was just losing white women by 20 points id still be questioning the results

[Jason]

Trump in Pennsylvania threatens John Deere with 200 percent tariffs

[image or embed]

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.bsky.social) September 23, 2024 at 1:15 PM

[Reputator]

1 hour ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

I absolutely freakin' despise those Simpsons memes.  It's to the point where I feel my blood pressure start to spike when I see them.

 

There are pills for that.

[Reputator]

Trump says he wouldn't run for president again in 2028 if he loses this time

WWW.NPR.ORG

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When asked whether he would run again in four years if his current presidential bid is unsuccessful, Trump said “I don’t see that at all.” He would be 82...

 

Quote

 

The Republican presidential nominee spoke with Sinclair Broadcast Group journalist Sharyl Attkisson at his Mar-a-Lago residence on Friday for an interview that aired on her show, Full Measure, on Sunday.

 

And it ended with Attkisson asking Trump whether he sees himself running again in 2028 if his current presidential bid — his third in a row — is unsuccessful.

 

“No, I don't. No, I don't,” Trump said. “I think that that will be, that will be it. I don't see that at all. I think that hopefully we're gonna be successful.”

 

 

 

I mean I could see his ego not being able to take it, but I could also see him being the sort to campaign from a hospital bed. Assuming he doesn't escape to Venezuela when he loses this year.

[Firewithin]

13 minutes ago, Jason said:

and theyll still vote for him

[SuperSpreader]

14 minutes ago, Jason said:

[Jason]

5 minutes ago, Reputator said:

Trump says he wouldn't run for president again in 2028 if he loses this time

WWW.NPR.ORG

---

When asked whether he would run again in four years if his current presidential bid is unsuccessful, Trump said “I don’t see that at all.” He would be 82...

 

 

 

I mean I could see his ego not being able to take it, but I could also see him being the sort to campaign from a hospital bed. Assuming he doesn't escape to Venezuela when he loses this year.

 

He said the same thing last time. "If I lose, you'll never hear from me again." 

[Chairslinger]

15 minutes ago, Reputator said:

Trump says he wouldn't run for president again in 2028 if he loses this time

WWW.NPR.ORG

---

When asked whether he would run again in four years if his current presidential bid is unsuccessful, Trump said “I don’t see that at all.” He would be 82...

 

 

 

I mean I could see his ego not being able to take it, but I could also see him being the sort to campaign from a hospital bed. Assuming he doesn't escape to Venezuela when he loses this year.

 

9 minutes ago, Jason said:

 

He said the same thing last time. "If I lose, you'll never hear from me again." 

 

 

The difference is that so far backing Trump has been high risk, high reward for the GOP.

 

Yes, Trump could run again to keep up his grift or attempt to wriggle out of legal accountability but I see that path as high risk, little reward for the GOP. If the party isn't smart enough to band together and finally expel him at that point I think it's nothing but gravy for Dems.

 

This Trump plus 4 years will not be able to run. Hell, I put it at a better chance that the man will be dead or in jail by 2028 than him being any type of real electoral threat. 

[GeneticBlueprint]

Said it before I'll say it again: He will run again if for no other reason than to use it as a tool in his "you can't send me to jail" belt.

[outsida]

4 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

I was wondering when someone was going to post those NYT/Siena polls 

 

There's some really odd data in the crosstabs (Harris losing 20 points with women, for example) that prompted NYT's Nate Cohn to say, "Huh - that's weird."

Horse-race narrative must be maintained 

[b_m_b_m_b_m]

I'm making this call now: if not elected he will be in prison before 2028. Bank it. Cannon will be replaced with a real judge and Chutkan doesn't give a fuck she will throw his ass away and sleep like a baby. He's got too many legal plates spinning and his only saving grace is that he may yet become president. If that falls through, the plates fall too.

[SaysWho?]

State Sen. Mike McDonnell deflates GOP hopes for Nebraska winner-take-all in 2024 • Nebraska Examiner

NEBRASKAEXAMINER.COM

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State Sen. Mike McDonnell announced he won't back the GOP push to change how Nebraska awards its Electoral College votes to winner-take-all.

 

[Uaarkson]

3 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

I'm going to be really, really honest.

 

I absolutely freakin' despise those Simpsons memes.  It's to the point where I feel my blood pressure start to spike when I see them.

 

Not only do I not find them humorous in the least, but I genuinely get the sense that they're contributing to the "normalization" of the behavior that they're supposed to lampooning.

 

So, I have a simple request - if they're going to be continued to be posted here, please put them in a spoiler.

[Uaarkson]

If I have one complaint about the Simpsons memes it’s that they kinda assume that everyone has seen and remembers every single episode of The Simpsons which is just insane 

[Spawn_of_Apathy]

Spoiler

Spoiler

Spoiler

Spoiler

@Commissar SFLUFAN is no fun. For shame. 

 

 

 

 

[MarSolo]

1 hour ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

I'm making this call now: if not elected he will be in prison before 2028. Bank it. Cannon will be replaced with a real judge and Chutkan doesn't give a fuck she will throw his ass away and sleep like a baby. He's got too many legal plates spinning and his only saving grace is that he may yet become president. If that falls through, the plates fall too.

It’s why the judge in the hush money trial moved the sentencing to after the election. The book is definitely getting thrown at Trump in that case, and I think Merchan thought that if he sentenced Trump that way BEFORE the election, it would have definitely motivated EVERYONE who hates him to vote, and thus, interfering in said election.

[chakoo]

1 hour ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

I'm making this call now: if not elected he will be in prison before 2028. Bank it. Cannon will be replaced with a real judge and Chutkan doesn't give a fuck she will throw his ass away and sleep like a baby. He's got too many legal plates spinning and his only saving grace is that he may yet become president. If that falls through, the plates fall too.

I agree but I put money on him fleeing to another country to escape jail time. 

[S3xB0t]

3 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

I'm going to be really, really honest.

 

I absolutely freakin' despise those Simpsons memes.  It's to the point where I feel my blood pressure start to spike when I see them.

 

Not only do I not find them humorous in the least, but I genuinely get the sense that they're contributing to the "normalization" of the behavior that they're supposed to lampooning.

 

So, I have a simple request - if they're going to be continued to be posted here, please put them in a spoiler.

 

29 minutes ago, Uaarkson said:

If I have one complaint about the Simpsons memes it’s that they kinda assume that everyone has seen and remembers every single episode of The Simpsons which is just insane 

I decided to let them fly without comment because the Simpsons just doesn’t hold a ton of relevance in my life experience and I’m not emotionally invested enough to watch it.

 

but

 

as long as we’re complaining then I don’t care for them, either. 
 

now if you want to throw in some Archer or Futurama…