CitizenVectron Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 Ammo depot in Russia (near Ukraine) exploded: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nokra Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 29 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: From my understanding, Russia's sole tank manufacturing company already shut down production weeks ago due to supply shortages, so I wonder what they are targeting now. Missiles? General military equipment? Unicycle factory. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 21 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: Ammo depot in Russia (near Ukraine) exploded: Ukraine claims it was a strike by one of their Tochka missiles. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 Claims that it was a tochka ballistic missile strike from Ukraine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreePi Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 Is this the first time Ukraine has struck any target outside their territory? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 7 minutes ago, ThreePi said: Is this the first time Ukraine has struck any target outside their territory? No. They've so far hit that Belgorod region twice (including this time) and also an air base in Rostov-on-Don, Russia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 49 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: Claims that it was a tochka ballistic missile strike from Ukraine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jwheel86 Posted March 29, 2022 Share Posted March 29, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Ukraine Welcomes Home Soldier Who Told "Go F*** Yourself" To Russians WWW.NDTV.COM A Ukrainian soldier who told a Russian warship to "go f*** yourself" before he was captured by the invading force has returned home, Ukraine's Defence Ministry tweeted. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 ISW analysis for 29 March 2022: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 29 | Institute for the Study of War WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG The Russians have not yet abandoned their attacks on Kyiv, claims by Russian Defense Ministry officials notwithstanding. Russian forces continued fighting to hold their forwardmost positions on the eastern and western Kyiv outskirts even as badly damaged Quote The Russians have not yet abandoned their attacks on Kyiv, claims by Russian Defense Ministry officials notwithstanding. Russian forces continued fighting to hold their forwardmost positions on the eastern and western Kyiv outskirts even as badly damaged units withdrew to Russia from elsewhere on the Kyiv and Chernihiv axes. The Russian high command has likely concluded that it cannot seize Kyiv and may not be able to move artillery closer to the center of the city. It may have decided to stop its previous practices of forcing units that have already taken devastating losses to continue hopeless offensive operations and of feeding individual battalion tactical groups into the battle as they become available rather than concentrating them to achieve decisive effects. Russian officials are likely casting these decisions driven by military realities as overtures demonstrating Russia’s willingness to engage in serious ceasefire or peace negotiations, possibly to conceal the fact that they have accepted the failure of their efforts on the Kyiv axis. Russia continues to reinforce its efforts in Ukraine’s northeast likely attempting to link its positions southeast of Kharkiv and Izyum with its forces in Luhansk Oblast. The Russians have reportedly redirected forces from the Chernihiv-Kharkiv axis to the Izyum-Slovyansk axis, most likely reassigning reinforcements rather than redeploying units already committed to fighting. Russian forces in the Izyum-Slovyansk area continue fighting to hold and expand their penetration to the southeast. The Russian advance in Mariupol continues to gain ground, and Russian forces have likely bisected or even trisected the city. Pockets of Ukrainian defenders continue to hold out in Mariupol, likely in several areas, but the Russians will likely complete the conquest of the city within days. Russian forces have likely taken significant casualties in the tough urban fighting in Mariupol, making it difficult to evaluate how much combat power the Russians will be able to harvest from Mariupol to use for further advances north and west. Russian operations in southeastern Ukraine have left large portions of Donetsk Oblast under Ukrainian control. Securing the boundaries of Donetsk Oblast along with the entirety of Luhansk Oblast will likely require a major offensive operation. Much of the area of Donetsk Oblast outside Russian control is flat and sparsely populated—terrain similar to that on which Russian forces elsewhere have been able to advance rapidly, at least earlier in the war. Russian offensive operations in similar terrain more recently have struggled, however. It is too soon to tell how feasible the Russian conquest of all of Donetsk and Luhansk will be for the Russian military in its current state. Key Takeaways We now assess that Russian forces have given up on encircling or seizing Kyiv at this time. Russian forces continue to fight to hold their current front-line trace near the city, however, remaining dug into positions to the east, northwest, and west. Russian forces withdrawing from the area around Kyiv appear to be moving north from behind the front line to positions in Belarus. Russia is directing some reserves to the effort to connect gains southeast of Kharkiv and Izyum with its front line in Luhansk. Ukrainian forces continue to defend in likely isolated pockets in Mariupol. The city will likely fall to the Russians within days. A Russian offensive operation to take the rest of unoccupied Donetsk Oblast would be a significant undertaking. It remains unclear if Russia can harvest enough combat power from Mariupol after securing the city or divert reinforcements from elsewhere on a large enough scale to complete it. Russia reportedly continues to struggle in its efforts to generate new combat power and replenish equipment. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on March 29 that Russian troops are drawing equipment out of long-term storage in Boguchar, Voronezh Oblast, but that 40% of that equipment is inoperable.[1] The General Staff also reported that Russian efforts to generate reinforcements from the Pacific Fleet could not produce even a single battalion because of refusals to fight.[2] We have no independent confirmation of these assessments, but Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu‘s March 29 statement that Russia would not deploy conscripts to “hot spots” corroborates assessments of Russian soldiers’ unwillingness to enter the war.[3] The UK Ministry of Defense reported on March 28 that the Wagner Group is deploying forces, including senior leaders, to eastern Ukraine to make up for heavy Russian combat losses. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jwheel86 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skillzdadirecta Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 3 hours ago, Jwheel86 said: 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Jomini of the West's intelligence briefing for Day 34: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Hey, you know what might wind up being a really bad scenario? Putin and the MoD not trusting one another. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 1 minute ago, CayceG said: Hey, you know what might wind up being a really bad scenario? Putin and the MoD not trusting one another. Yeah - that's not a positive situation at all and increases the overall risk factor quite a bit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said: Yeah - that's not a positive situation at all and increases the overall risk factor quite a bit. Especially given that Putin has not only Rosgvardia, but also the FSO--or the Federal Protective Services. Rosgvardia is Russia's National Guard, but rolls up under Putin as opposed to the Minister of Defense. Same for the FSO... And the FSO is the organization that not only acts as the Secret Service for Putin, but also maintains the nuclear Football. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jwheel86 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 20 minutes ago, CayceG said: Especially given that Putin has not only Rosgvardia, but also the FSO--or the Federal Protective Services. Rosgvardia is Russia's National Guard, but rolls up under Putin as opposed to the Minister of Defense. Same for the FSO... And the FSO is the organization that not only acts as the Secret Service for Putin, but also maintains the nuclear Football. Feels relevant 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarSolo Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Jwheel86 said: Feels relevant “I fucked Germany, I can handle a flesh lump in an overcoat.” 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Jwheel86 said: Feels relevant One of my great movie memories is seeing Death of Stalin as a surprise midnight screening at Fantastic Fest whatever year the flick came out. Crowd was very into it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 It's important to keep in mind that these maps are just estimations, and that changes in them can often reflect corrections rather than actual movement of positions, but: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 These HAVE to be duds. Right? Right?! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brucoe Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: These HAVE to be duds. Right? Right?! Seriously, I've NEVER been in a situation where I've been in so much of a hurry that I'm just going to drive slowly through a minefield to avoid going around it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anathema- Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 lmao with the rickety-ass trailer too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Imagine standing in the blast radius to film it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 Some people have said that they are likely older anti-tank mines with no magnetic trigger, and their physical trigger won't initiate unless there's about 350lb+ force on them. So as long as your wheels don't hit, you're fine... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 I would simply not do what that driver and cameraman did. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brucoe Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 1 minute ago, CitizenVectron said: Some people have said that they are likely older anti-tank mines with no magnetic trigger, and their physical trigger won't initiate unless there's about 350lb+ force on them. So as long as your wheels don't hit, you're fine... Nope. Not driving through them. And this coming from a guy who used to sleep on mines during deployments. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jwheel86 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Calm down Germany. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, brucoe said: Nope. Not driving through them. And this coming from a guy who used to sleep on mines during deployments. I feel like throwing something at them from a safe distance to force them to all go off is probably better than this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brucoe Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, SuperSpreader said: I feel like throwing something at them from a safe distance to force them to all go off is probably better than this? Yeah, at least you can see them all above ground. Usually, we bury them under ground, which means you're screwed no matter what you do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 Russian hackers targeted NATO, eastern European militaries - Google WWW.REUTERS.COM Russian hackers have recently attempted to penetrate the networks of NATO and the militaries of some eastern European countries, Google's Threat Analysis Group said in a report published on Wednesday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: Russian hackers targeted NATO, eastern European militaries - Google WWW.REUTERS.COM Russian hackers have recently attempted to penetrate the networks of NATO and the militaries of some eastern European countries, Google's Threat Analysis Group said in a report published on Wednesday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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