Россия invades Україна | UPDATE (27 June 2024) - US/Israel in talks to supply 8 Patriot systems to Ukraine

[Jason]

4 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

Those terms are effectively commensurate with Russia admitting defeat.

 

I don't believe a word of it.

 

Given what we saw before about Russia intentionally negotiating in bad faith, it was probably said, but...

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

Special forces on ATVs and with a few drones are the reason Ukraine has been able to do so well:

 

 

Besides the actual use of drones to launch attacks, Ukraine has dominated the skies in terms of intelligence, using consumer drones to spot for artillery strikes. In fact, their use may have saved Kyiv in the opening days of the war:

 

Quote

The Aerorozvidka unit also claims to have helped defeat a Russian airborne attack on Hostomel airport, just north-west of Kyiv, in the first day of the war, using drones to locate, target and shell about 200 Russian paratroopers concealed at one end of the airfield.

 

"That contributed largely to the fact that they could not use this airfield for further development of their attack," saaid Lt Taras, one of Honchar's aides.

 

[PaladinSolo]

This tank is very lucky he was too close for the NLAW to arm, missile just slammed into the tank basically without exploding.

[ThreePi]

59 minutes ago, PaladinSolo said:

This tank is very lucky he was too close for the NLAW to arm, missile just slammed into the tank basically without exploding.

 

I believe in this case internal spalling would be a serious threat to the crew. It looks like it hit right around the mounted MG on the top of the turret so presumably there is tank crew right on the other side that could have gotten shredded by metal fragments.

[CayceG]

1 hour ago, PaladinSolo said:

This tank is very lucky he was too close for the NLAW to arm, missile just slammed into the tank basically without exploding.

 

 

 

“Right now Captain Tupelov is removing all the safety features on his weapons. He won’t make the same mistake twice.”

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

Goddamn, how many times can Ukraine make me cry?

 

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

Useful to know why Russia appears so ignorant of Ukraine:

 

 

 

 

[Jason]

10 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said:

Useful to know why Russia appears so ignorant of Ukraine:

 

 

 

 

 

So Russia thinks of Ukraine the way the US thinks of Canada.

[b_m_b_m_b_m]

13 minutes ago, Jason said:

 

So Russia thinks of Ukraine the way the US thinks of Canada.

They’re godless socialists?

[Jason]

10 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

They’re godless socialists?

 

"Just like us, except more socialist, and a lot of them talk kinda funny and say oot and aboot" is probably the entirety of what most Americans have in their head about Canada. Maybe something about moose and maple syrup.

[CitizenVectron]

19 minutes ago, Jason said:

 

"Just like us, except more socialist, and a lot of them talk kinda funny and say oot and aboot" is probably the entirety of what most Americans have in their head about Canada. Maybe something about moose and maple syrup.

 

And yet the movie Canadian Bacon proves that American has plans to invade, and knows all about Canada.

[b_m_b_m_b_m]

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

3 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

 

 

That's a very roundabout way of saying "Lay off the guy - he just can't  help himself when his goddamned Mick blood goes rushing to his head!"

[b_m_b_m_b_m]

Look Jack the last Irish Catholic in the White House got shot in the head so give joe some slack

[SuperSpreader]

Joe is right, come at me bro 

[SuperSpreader]

 

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

ISW analysis for 28 March 2022:

 

 

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 28 | Institute for the Study of War

WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 28 Mason Clark and George Barros March 28, 4:30pm ET Ukrainian forces recaptured Irpin, northwest of Kyiv, on March 28. Ongoing Ukrainian counterattacks around Kyiv will likely disrupt ongoing Russian efforts

 

 

Quote

 

Ukrainian forces recaptured Irpin, northwest of Kyiv, on March 28. Ongoing Ukrainian counterattacks around Kyiv will likely disrupt ongoing Russian efforts to reconstitute forces and resume major offensive operations to encircle Kyiv. Ukrainian forces additionally repelled Russian attacks toward Brovary, east of Kyiv, in the past 24 hours. Russian forces in northeastern Ukraine remain stalled and did not conduct offensive operations against Chernihiv, Sumy, or Kharkiv in the past 24 hours. Russian forces continue to make grinding progress in Mariupol but were unable to secure territory in either Donbas or toward Mykolayiv.

 

Key Takeaways

• Russian forces have not abandoned their objective to encircle and capture Kyiv, despite Kremlin claims that Russian forces will concentrate on eastern Ukraine.
• Ukrainian forces recaptured the Kyiv suburb of Irpin on March 28. Ukrainian forces will likely seek to take advantage of ongoing Russian force rotations to retake further territory northwest of Kyiv in the coming days.
• Russian forces conducted unsuccessful attacks toward Brovary and did not conduct offensive operations toward Chernihiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv. Russian operations in northeastern Ukraine remain stalled.
• The Ukrainian General Staff stated that a battalion tactical group (BTG) of the 1st Guards Tank Army fully withdrew from Ukrainian territory near Sumy back to Russia for possible redeployment – the first Ukrainian report of a Russian unit fully withdrawing into Russia for redeployment to another axis of advance in this conflict.
• Russian forces continued to steadily take territory in Mariupol.
• Ukrainian resistance around Kherson continues to tie down Russian forces in the area. Russian forces did not conduct any offensive operations in the southern direction.

 

Russian conscription efforts, which Ukrainian intelligence expects to begin on April 1, are unlikely to provide Russian forces around Ukraine with sufficient combat power to restart major offensive operations in the near term. Russia’s pool of available well-trained replacements remains low and new conscripts will require months to reach even a minimum standard of readiness. Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported on March 28 that Russia will begin conscription through the BARS-2021 (Combat Army Reserve of the Country) program on April 1 alongside the normal semi-annual conscription cycle on April 1 to “conceal mass mobilization measures.”[1] The GUR reported that BARS-2021 reservists will replenish units operating in Ukraine and will be supported by convicted criminals recruited through the BARS program in return for full amnesty.

 

ISW published an explainer on BARS-2021 and other Russian conscription efforts on March 5.[2] The Russian military launched the BARS-2021 program in 2021 in order to establish an active reserve by recruiting volunteer reservists for three-year contract service. BARS-2021 operated on the same principle as US and NATO reserves, where reservists actively train and are compensated while maintaining their civilian jobs. The Russian Armed Forces sought to create exclusively reservist units but likely did not accomplish its goals due to low engagement from Russian citizens. The Russian Defense Ministry hoped to recruit more than 100,000 reservists starting in August 2021, but it is unlikely the Kremlin was able to achieve its goals on such a short timeline.

 

The Russian military is likely close to exhausting its available reserves of units capable of deploying to Ukraine. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on March 28 that Russia continues to train and deploy additional units to Ukraine, including the Pacific Fleet’s 155th Naval Infantry Brigade and an unspecified element of the 14th Separate Guards Special Purpose Brigade.[3] The Ukrainian General Staff additionally reported on March 27 that unspecified Western Military District and Pacific Fleet units continued to deploy toward Ukraine, but that Ukraine has observed a “significant decrease in the intensity of traffic from the depths of the Russian Federation”—indicating Russia has likely already deployed most of its reserves to Ukraine.[4] The Ukrainian General Staff additionally stated that Russia is covertly mobilizing the population of the Russian-backed, Georgian breakaway region of South Ossetia to support the war in Ukraine and has already transferred 150 South Ossetian fighters to Crimea.

 

 

 

[Anathema-]

29 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

That's a very roundabout way of saying "Lay off the guy - he just can't  help himself when his goddamned Mick blood goes rushing to his head!"

 

Playing a bit of the white identity card is pretty smart imo.

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

Russia appears to have recognized that their northern sector Chernihiv-Kyiv axis operations are untenable and will be concentrating on the east and south:

 

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

Jomini of the Wests's intelligence briefing for Day 33:

 

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

 

[silentbob]

9 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

Could this also be a sign of them switching into the more extreme weapons in their arsenal? 

[Brian]

Florida and Texas would be my top 2

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

25 minutes ago, ManUtdRedDevils said:

Florida and Texas would be my top 2

 

Ms. Sovsun, you're better off asking where I would NOT be willing to give up!

 

In fact, there would be absolutely no Russian bombing required at all!

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

33 minutes ago, silentbob said:

Could this also be a sign of them switching into the more extreme weapons in their arsenal? 

 

Probably not.

 

It's definitely a redeployment to areas that they feel more confident are within their grasp.

[mclumber1]

Is it worth it for Ukrainian forces to continue to attack the retreating Russians?  These Russian units aren't going home, they are likely going to reinforce existing units in the Donbas region.

[Comet]

59 minutes ago, ManUtdRedDevils said:

Florida and Texas would be my top 2

As a Texan I would sign off on this right away and once the ink dries on my signature I'm off to Colorado. 

[CayceG]

10 minutes ago, mclumber1 said:

Is it worth it for Ukrainian forces to continue to attack the retreating Russians?  These Russian units aren't going home, they are likely going to reinforce existing units in the Donbas region.

1000% yes it is worth it. 

[Jason]

1 hour ago, ManUtdRedDevils said:

Florida and Texas would be my top 2

 

They can have Alaska too, buy two get three. 

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

From my understanding, Russia's sole tank manufacturing company already shut down production weeks ago due to supply shortages, so I wonder what they are targeting now. Missiles? General military equipment?