Россия invades Україна | UPDATE (27 June 2024) - US/Israel in talks to supply 8 Patriot systems to Ukraine

[ThreePi]

3 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

For those keeping score:

 

Maj Gen Andrey Mordvich: killed in action
Maj Gen Oleg Mityaev: killed in action
Lt Gen Yakov Rezanstev: killed in action
Maj Gen Vitaliy Gerasimov: killed in action
Maj Gen Andrei Sukhovetsky: killed in action
Maj Gen Andrey Kolesnikov: killed in action
Gen Magomed Tushaev: killed in action
Gen Vlaislav Yershov: sacked

 

Sacked, as in, fired? Or like put in a burlap sack and beaten for incompetence?

[MarSolo]

15 hours ago, Jason said:

 

I’m pretty sure that’s the guy from “I Think You Should Leave”.

[Ricofoley]

So uh, what are we to make of this?

[Nokra]

So long, and thanks for all the nukes?

[Jason]

5 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

A "flag officer" is an officer who is senior enough to be entitled to fly a flag to mark the position from which they exercise command authority. 

 

Maybe that's how the snipers keep finding them.

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

[SuperSpreader]

10 hours ago, Anathema- said:

 

lol believe it or not none of those were Israel 

 

 

 

[PaladinSolo]

This seems like a really bad idea for a weapon system, just lob some mines into that general area over there!

[Jason]

 

[CitizenVectron]

From all the videos of Ukrainian forces retaking villages in the north, it really does seem like the Russians don't want to be there. Hard enough to push forward and invade and face resistance if you don't want to, but being on the defensive must be even harder for conscripts. Lots of videos of small groups surrendering after brief fights.

[SaysWho?]

I've been hearing raves about Biden's speech today.

 

 

[Iculus]

57 minutes ago, SaysWho? said:

I've been hearing raves about Biden's speech today.

 

 

strong!

[CitizenVectron]

 

[skillzdadirecta]

Just now, CitizenVectron said:

 

That shit is BRUTAL and is against the Geneva conventions, right?

[CitizenVectron]

23 minutes ago, skillzdadirecta said:

That shit is BRUTAL and is against the Geneva conventions, right?

 

I've heard it described as "acid blood from Aliens, but fire."

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

2 hours ago, skillzdadirecta said:

That shit is BRUTAL and is against the Geneva conventions, right?

 

The Jus in Bello of White Phosphorus: Getting the Law Correct

WWW.LAWFAREBLOG.COM

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Focusing on the weapon, and not how it is being used, muddies the law and facts surrounding the circumstances in which a war crime may have occurred.

 

 

Quote

White phosphorus munitions are per se a lawful weapon that can be used against the enemy consistent with the normal laws of targeting. However, white phosphorus munitions, like any lawful weapon, can be used in numerous unlawful manners, such as to specifically target civilians or launch attacks indiscriminately

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

2 hours ago, CitizenVectron said:

 

 

Ahem...

 

 

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

ISW analysis for 26 March 2022:

 

RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, MARCH 26 | Institute for the Study of War

WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG

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Russian forces continued their unsuccessful efforts to move into positions from which to attack or encircle Kyiv, claims by First Deputy Chief of the Russian General Staff Sergei Rudskoi on March 25 notwithstanding. The Russian military continues to

 

 

Quote

 

Russian forces continued their unsuccessful efforts to move into positions from which to attack or encircle Kyiv, claims by First Deputy Chief of the Russian General Staff Sergei Rudskoi on March 25 notwithstanding. The Russian military continues to concentrate replacements and reinforcements in Belarus and Russia north of Kyiv, to fight for positions on Kyiv’s outskirts, and to attempt to complete the encirclement and reduction of Chernihiv.  Russian activities around Kyiv show no change in the Russian high command’s prioritization of the fight around Ukraine’s capital, which continues to occupy the largest single concentration of Russian ground forces in Ukraine.  The Russians have not claimed to redeploy forces from Kyiv or any other part of Ukraine to concentrate on fighting in Donbas, and we have observed numerous indicators that they have not done so.  The increasingly static nature of the fighting around Kyiv reflects the incapacity of Russian forces rather than any shift in Russian objectives or efforts at this time.

 

Russian forces will likely bisect the city of Mariupol in the coming days as they claim and will likely gain control of the city in the relatively near future.  Fighting in Mariupol continues to be fierce, however, and Russian forces continue to suffer significant losses.  The amount of combat power the Russians will be able to harvest from Mariupol once they gain control of the city will determine whether the city’s fall will allow the Russians to launch renewed large-scale offensive operations in Ukraine’s east.  It remains unclear how badly damaged Russian units fighting for Mariupol are—or how much more damage they will incur in completing the capture of the city—but high-profile casualties in elite and conventional Russian combat units such as the 810th Naval Infantry Brigade and the 150th Motorized Rifle Division, both of which have lost commanders in the past few weeks, suggest that losses in such units are high.[1]

 

Ukrainian forces continue to conduct limited counter-attacks across the theater, most recently near Kharkiv.  Ukrainian counter-attacks have been prudent and effective, allowing Ukrainian forces to regain small areas of tactically or operationally significant terrain without over-extending themselves. 

 

Key Takeaways

• Russian forces continue their unsuccessful efforts to secure positions from which to attack and seize Kyiv despite the supposed reframing of the Russian military’s priorities by First Deputy Chief of the Russian General Staff Sergei Rudskoi on March 25.
• The Russians will likely make important progress in seizing the city of Mariupol in the coming days and will probably take the city in the near future.  The scale of Russian losses in the fight for Mariupol will determine whether the city’s fall will permit Russia to renew large-scale combat operations in eastern Ukraine.  It is too soon to tell, but current indicators suggest that Russian losses have been and will continue to be high.
• The Ukrainian General Staff continues to report on challenges Russia faces in finding both troops and equipment to continue the war.  The General Staff reports generally match observed patterns and indicators within the Ukrainian battlespace and are likely largely accurate, although we have little independent verification of their details.
• The captured city of Kherson appears to be resisting Russian control in ways that are driving the Russian military and national guard to concentrate forces on securing it.  The requirement to secure captured cities can impose a significant cost on over-stretched Russian forces and hinder their ability to conduct offensive operations.

The Ukrainian General Staff reports that the Russian military is continuing efforts to replace personnel and equipment losses but struggling to do so.  The General Staff claimed on March 25 that Russia has established a base in Russia’s Bryansk Oblast to repair and rehabilitate equipment pulled from strategic reserves.[2]  The General Staff asserted that much of Russia’s reserve equipment is unusable or in very poor states of repair, with essential gear—including engines—stripped out of many vehicles.  The General Staff added on March 26 that the Russians are attempting to refurbish old T-72 tanks as part of this effort.[3]  The General Staff also claimed that the Russian military is lowering its standards for conscripts and recruits and has been forced to use a higher proportion of conscripts in combat as it has suffered losses among its professional soldiers.[4]  We have no independent confirmation of these reports, but they are consistent with observed patterns of Russian operations and losses in Ukraine and with ISW’s earlier assessment of the state of the Russian personnel reserve system.[5]

 

Morale problems within the Russian military are becoming more serious and apparent.  Reports that the soldiers of a Russian unit killed their brigade commander by running him over with a tank and, more recently, that the commander of the 13th Guards Tank Regiment of the 4th Guards Tank Division (1st Guards Tank Army) committed suicide likely indicate a general breakdown of morale even among first tier Russian combat units.[6]

 

The Russians continue to try to concentrate forces for renewed fighting around Kyiv, however.  The Ukrainian General Staff reported on March 26 that additional Russian forces from the Eastern Military District were being sent into Ukraine at an unspecified location.[7]  Eastern Military District forces have been engaged exclusively in the Kyiv and Chernihiv region.

 

 

 

[SuperSpreader]

All these weapons are disgusting

[PaladinSolo]

 

[PaladinSolo]

Now this is how you inflate numbers, "We're killing so many Ukrainians sometimes we're killing them 10 times each!"

[CitizenVectron]

 

 

From the sounds of it, Red Cross is basically saying that they need to get people out of Mariupol, and Russia says "okay, bring them this way!" And Red Cross says "sounds great!"

[SuperSpreader]

2 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said:

 

 

From the sounds of it, Red Cross is basically saying that they need to get people out of Mariupol, and Russia says "okay, bring them this way!" And Red Cross says "sounds great!"

Hey Russia someone is attacking Ukraine!

 

Oh no!

 

Help us! 

 

We'll take them in!

 

You're the best!

[CitizenVectron]

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

46 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said:

 

 

I'd say that's a completely reasonable analysis based on the current "facts on the ground" situation where the Russians can't really advance to claim significantly more territory than that which they currently occupy nor can Ukraine realistically mount the scale of counter-offensive necessary to dislodge them.  Hell, it wouldn't surprise me if the occupied territory -- at least that part located in the Donbass region -- didn't become part of the Russian Federation itself:

 

Luhansk 'may hold referendum on joining Russia', Ukraine says 'null and void'

NEWS.CGTN.COM

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The self-proclaimed "Luhansk People's Republic" in eastern Ukraine could hold a referendum soon on joining Russia, a move Ukraine said would have no legal basis.

 

[CitizenVectron]

Zelenskyy made some comments today that effectively can be summed up: Ukraine will not attempt to take back Crimea military, and accepts that Russia cannot be driven completely off Ukrainian soil without WWIII. 

 

I take this to mean that Ukraine would consider losing only Luhansk and Donetsk as a victory. And honestly, it would be, though of course it would still be sad for Ukraine.

[Littleronin]

So in the end Putin will get a bit of want he wants, along with time to rebuild the military loses and try again to get a bit more. 

[Jason]

 

[PaladinSolo]

Look at that the Russian Empire never really left us!  "Here Igor, this rifle killed literal Nazis, use it to De-nazify Ukraine!"

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

49 minutes ago, Littleronin said:

So in the end Putin will get a bit of want he wants, along with time to rebuild the military loses and try again to get a bit more. 

 

Except that Putin will be facing a re-militarized Western/Central Europe, something that I don't think he bargained for.

[PaladinSolo]

 

[Uaarkson]

9 minutes ago, PaladinSolo said:

 

Oh for fucks sake, now we’re doing the name AND the flag emoji?