PaladinSolo Posted August 23, 2019 Share Posted August 23, 2019 Astronaut Mark Kelly is +5 over McSally, in May it was McSally +1, whos favorability has dropped from +9 to +2 since May. https://ohpredictive.com/press-releases/poll-kelly-flies-by-mcsally-in-q3/ Kelly leads by 9-points (48/39) over McSally in Maricopa County and is ahead of McSally by 14-points (52/38) in Pima County. However, McSally remains ahead in Rural Arizona by 10-points (47/37). What is interesting is the fact that McSally is +2 in total favorability in Maricopa County although once the head-to-head matchup is injected she trails Kelly by 9-points in that region. Roughly 6 out of every 10 likely statewide voters are in Maricopa County. In the last decade, only one statewide campaign lost Maricopa and Pima county and still won statewide. Conclusion: Maricopa County is the key to winning statewide office in Arizona. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted August 23, 2019 Share Posted August 23, 2019 2 hours ago, SaysWho? said: (╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted August 23, 2019 Author Share Posted August 23, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewhyteboar Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Remarkableriots Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/joe-biden-asks-audience-to-imagine-obama-s-assassination/ar-AAGeYwB?ocid=AMZN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 Jesus Christ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 I feel like people need to be reminded over and over again that Biden would be 78 years old before he takes office if elected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 Frontrunner: imagine the extremely well-liked ex president was killed Electibility! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheGreatGamble Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 53 minutes ago, Remarkableriots said: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/joe-biden-asks-audience-to-imagine-obama-s-assassination/ar-AAGeYwB?ocid=AMZN seriously, is he not running this shit by anyone first? Did someone say, hey, ya, thats a great idea Joe! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted August 24, 2019 Author Share Posted August 24, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 Trump's approval is headed back down again, hard to pin down exactly why but fears about the economy and hes been slightly more deranged lately, lol. https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/24/politics/trump-approval-rating-analysis/index.html Trump needs to be able to break out of the narrow range in order to make himself a favorite for reelection. No president has won an additional term with an approval rating as low as Trump's is currently. The further Trump's approval rating strays from his disapproval rating, the harder he makes it for himself to win in 2020. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted August 24, 2019 Author Share Posted August 24, 2019 Likely a combination of his limp response to the white supremacist shooter in El Paso, economic worries and the trade war and new tariffs. He's been trending that way for a few weeks. His baseline was the 30s in 2017. After the tax cut, it was the low 40s (I think that's when he really solidified Republican support in polls). And it's just kind of been there. So really, I'm wondering if we're gonna see a new baseline form or if it'll go back to the low 40s again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 (rubs temples) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 30 minutes ago, SFLUFAN said: (rubs temples) You may not like it, but this is what peak electability looks like. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted August 24, 2019 Author Share Posted August 24, 2019 1 hour ago, Jason said: Guy seems to just post either misstatements or things he doesn't like that the other side says. Guess that explains why DeSantis follows him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSoxFan9 Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 Tom Perez is so ambitious Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSoxFan9 Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 sundown express Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Signifyin(g)Monkey Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 23 hours ago, PaladinSolo said: Trump's approval is headed back down again, hard to pin down exactly why but fears about the economy and hes been slightly more deranged lately, lol. https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/24/politics/trump-approval-rating-analysis/index.html Trump needs to be able to break out of the narrow range in order to make himself a favorite for reelection. No president has won an additional term with an approval rating as low as Trump's is currently. The further Trump's approval rating strays from his disapproval rating, the harder he makes it for himself to win in 2020. Remember it all comes down to those swing states. Trump could lose the popular vote by 50 million votes and still win if he racks up majorities in the right states. National polls don’t matter as much as we’d like them to. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, Signifyin(g)Monkey said: Remember it all comes down to those swing states. Trump could lose the popular vote by 50 million votes and still win if he racks up majorities in the right states. National polls don’t matter as much as we’d like them to. Uhh ok, lol. I'm pretty sure i've been dumping state polling as well, hes doing terribly everywhere that matters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewhyteboar Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 1 hour ago, PaladinSolo said: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 Quote Walsh, a talk-radio host, was elected to Congress in 2010 as part of the tea party wave and served one term. He has described himself as an immigration hard-liner and said he would not challenge Trump from the center but from the right and on moral grounds. Go fuck yourself, buddy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 So we got Joe Walsh, a hard-line (but with morals) Republican, and Bill Weld, a centrist (but with morals) Libertarian/Republican, running against Donald Trump, a chaos theory (with no morals) pussy grabber. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 "I want to fuck over poor and brown people, but do it with an air of class." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarSolo Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 George Stephanopolous raked him over the coals during his interview this morning. I forgot about most of the awful shit he said about Obama. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 3 hours ago, thewhyteboar said: That's the Rocky Mountain way! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted August 25, 2019 Author Share Posted August 25, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 3 hours ago, SFLUFAN said: Go fuck yourself, buddy. I'm willing to bite my tongue until after the primary season. Any damage to Trump from the right is a good thing. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted August 25, 2019 Author Share Posted August 25, 2019 Just now, Jason said: I'm willing to bite my tongue until after the primary season. Any damage to Trump from the right is a good thing. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Exactly. Challenges from the right mean more than Weld-like challenges. I'd just like as many Republicans to run against him as possible for the chaos of it all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSoxFan9 Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted August 25, 2019 Share Posted August 25, 2019 13 minutes ago, RedSoxFan9 said: There is a nice juxtaposition between that old tweet and his current Twitter icon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted August 25, 2019 Author Share Posted August 25, 2019 October 26th was one of the last days I felt comfortable about the election. Also, the two of them attacking each other will be fun for me. Walsh is good at getting media attention better than Weld. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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