CitizenVectron

1 minute ago, TUFKAK said:

So the people who were her constituents’ and where she began her political journey’s opinions are less relevant than those who weren’t?

In terms of the results of the election, yes.

3 minutes ago, TUFKAK said:

Are we really saying a 44% favorable rating is a good thing?

 

I don’t know many Bay Area people who are fans of hers. We’re mostly all; well anyone but Trump so 

I think the big deal is that she's seen a net swing of 12% points in the last 7 days, which is very large movement.

The topline numbers from the Reuters/Ipsos poll above haven't been released yet, but the favorability info has. Basically, Harris and Biden are more popular in the last week, while Trump and Vance have dropped:

Harris sees boost in favorability after Biden drops out of race: POLL - ABC News

ABCNEWS.GO.COM

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Vice President Kamala Harris saw a jump in favorability after President Joe Biden announced he was not seeking reelection, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll.

Effectively the net swings over the past week:

• Harris: net swing +12
  • Favourable: 43 (+8)
  • Unfavourable: 42 (-4)
• Biden: net swing +10
  • Favourable: 37 (+5)
  • Unfavourable: 50 (-5)
• Trump: net swing -6
  • Favourable: 36 (-4)
  • Unfavourable: 52 (+2)
• Vance: net swing -7
  • Favourable: 24 (+1)
  • Unfavourable: 39 (+8)

So this makes the net static favourability of each person as:

• Harris: +1
• Biden: -13
• Trump: -16
• Vance: -15

6 hours ago, Brick said:

My manager at work said he heard a rumour in the past about RDJ being brought back as a Kang variant. I guess that was before Marvel dropped Jonathan Majors and decided to pivot to Dr. Doom. 

I think this is most likely what is going on. As proposed by someone on resetera:

• Fantastic Four will reveal the MCU Doom (likely in a stinger, or just as Victor von Doom without the mask)
• Doomsday will be a re-written Kang Dynasty, with dozens of Doom variants vying for control of the multiverse. One will be RDJ (perhaps main antagonist). The MCU Doom will be the one who wins
• Secret Wars will be the MCU Doom orchestrating everything, and we'll see the Fantastic Four merge universes with the MCU, along with maybe the X-Men?

I mean, I'm sure it will be enjoyable...it just reeks of safety (in terms of fan service casting). 

9 minutes ago, finaljedi said:

Walz had some good press moments that probably shot him near the top of the list.  Shapiro comes with a swing state and some decent charisma, but has a disadvantage that’s a little rough to admit out loud.  Kelly has a resume that’s a little hard to beat and I saw a clip of a senate race debate that made me think he might have some good fireworks in the debate with the cushion pushin guy.

I'm still behind Kelly, but Walz brings the real-talk of a midwesterner that could appeal to many in the region, even if Minnesota itself is probably already safe. Shapiro would probably have the biggest impact in clinching PA, which is the most-important swing state, but he also would make it harder to keep Michigan due to his outspoken positions on the anti-Israel college protestors.

Cooper is out of the running, apparently, and Walz is in!

Link: 

My wife and I loved season 1, and are very excited for season 2. I actually liked that it was slower, and honestly my favourite part was the musical score.

Harris campaign has announced they are going to do a massive on-the-ground campaign in Florida to contest every single seat and position. Apparently internals show Trump only ahead by 3 points, and with marijuana and abortion on the ballet, the Democrats think they stand a chance.

While obviously they need to avoid Clinton's mistake of taking the Midwest for granted, having a 50-state strategy is important to eking out victories in a few house seats here and there. If you've got the cash and the volunteers, then go after everything.

So...

Later in the speech it sounded like he said he was not a Christian? I think he misspoke.

Obamas will campaign with Harris, but also, 2,300 campaign events planned for this weekend alone:

Though I don't think he'll be chosen, I actually have been very impressed with Governor Tim Walz of Minnesota. Of all the white men being vetted, I think he has the most plain-spoken way of appealing to people. He's a bit older than the rest, however.

Kind of neat: Harris was at Obama's start of his campaign in 2007:

Also, relevant to the current election, Mark Kelly recently visited the airbase where Ukrainian pilots are training on F-16s...and flew one of the jets while there:

Can't imagine him facing off against Vance.

Pentagon finds accounting errors worth $2 billion in aid for Ukraine

KYIVINDEPENDENT.COM

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Due to the errors, the Defense Department can send a further $2 billion in weapons to Ukraine to cover the amount already approved by U.S. President Joe Biden.

How fortunate!

Russia?

No one can resist the allure of...El Paso.

Also polls out today showing Harris +1 over Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin, states that Biden was down 6+ points in, in some recent polls.

Reports from Dem senior leadership that Kelly is emerging as the likely VP pick for Harris.

The White Women for Kamala zoom call just exceeded 100,000 participants. Currently raising $20,000 per minute, crashing their donation site. 

So...if Obama endorses her (which it looks like he is preparing to do) then the debate is back on?

With the Harris campaign just spinning up their ad operation (likely won't have anything out themselves for a week or two), associated PACs are filling the gap. Freedom Forward has the first major buy in swing states: