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Everything posted by Massdriver
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I stutter here and there, mainly when I am talking passionately about something. I’ve gotten better at slowing myself down when I’m trying to express myself. My mind tends to get ahead of my speech. Biden’s stutter shouldn’t be made fun of, but due to the job he is seeking, it should be taken into consideration in how it could affect his presidential duties. Regardless of the stutter, Biden and Sanders are both too old to be president. We have a duty to take into account both mental and physical fitness. Since everyone has gone with them, we all have to overlook age this time around.
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Henry Cuellar beat Cisneros by only around 3% points. That was much closer than I anticipated. It's very clear Texas has an extremely powerful and active young group of Democrats that will likely change the face of the party in all the major city districts over the next 10 years. We will need to see the general election results to see how close we are from being a full on purple state.
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I’m not thrilled with the results. It’s a mixture. A part of me wanted to see what Sanders could do out of curiosity, and I’ve come around to not opposing single payer depending on how it is paid for. I’m not convinced it is over for Sanders, but not looking great either. But a part of me is hopeful with these results. Democratic turnout is up. Biden’s got excitement behind him and his coalition doesn’t depend on an unlikely never before seen surge of young voter turnout that apparently doesn’t exist tonight. Biden is based on a more typical formula for winning that relies on a more likely present group showing up to vote while being less likely to shave off a couple of points because of the socialist label. Biden will lose some Bernie voters as well, but I don’t think it outweighs the negative of Bernie. I believe Biden is more likely to take Trump down than Sanders, so from that standpoint, I’m pleased. But it’s going to be rough and I think Trump will probably win regardless of the nominee. Both of them are too old. Sanders has tons of things I disagree with him on, but I still think he’s an ethical, honest guy trying to do the right thing. We could do worse. Biden has his son which will be a liability for him, and he seems mentally deficient at times. It’s going to be rough, but that turn out!
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It's a neat metric, and there's a lot of metrics out there. It's not cheap, but it's certainly not as expensive as it was a little over a week ago. Dipping into this thing isn't the worst idea, and international equities have better valuations which I also enjoy purchasing. Timing the market based on valuations is a tough thing to do with all of your money. I try to do a little timing with additions and hold the rest. Edit: What would be the toughest thing to purchase right now for me would be bonds due to valuations.
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Updated fivethirtyeight model now has Sanders at only an 8% chance of getting a majority. The Biden Surge could end up being real. We'll know more later this evening. My original prediction of a Biden nomination may end up being true after all even though I renounced it prematurely after Nevada! Edit: Biden is much more likely to end up with the plurality of the delegates going into a contested convention now as well, so all the debate about Sanders going in with more delegates may have been premature. Sanders might end up having to backtrack and change his position back to 2016 Sanders to try to pick off super delegates.