Massdriver

I'm seeing some good things in Ohio and North Carolina is not over.

The 10% probability from 538 is feeling very real right now.

I had to look up the needles since you guys were talking about them. I hate them but they have their own window! fuck

@sblfilms, so far I'm not seeing the margins shrink in some of the rural counties, so it may be up to the suburbs and cities.

It's not a bad start. Remember Beto did too though and ended up losing. What would really help Biden is shrinking the rural margin even slightly. But it's a good sign!

That could be considered a good sign for other swing states.

Trump's win in Florida is meaningless because it is based off of a very specific demographic that only matters in Florida. We won't see this elsewhere.

The margin is terrible compared to 2016. He needed it.

Pennsylvania is the big one. I will be disappointed if Trump wins it.

Biden ahead 142,000 votes right now in Florida with 75% in... 50.3%-48.7%

I did, but I thought I would be able to resize. This works though!

No I just got here.

I wish I could break CNN's live stream out into a separate independent window.

I never counted on Florida. Florida sucks. C'mon Georgia and Texas!

Don't forget my prediction map where I predict Florida going red and Texas and Georgia going blue!

Once I’m off work and I’ve run with our dog, I’ll likely be on here with you all tonight as we celebrate Texas going blue!

No worries from me. I voted blue and early in person a couple of weeks ago.

Swing State Poll Finds No Late Shift in Presidential Race WWW.WSJ.COM Support for President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden in a group of battleground states has remained unchanged in recent days, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, finding little evidence of the kind of last-minute shift toward Mr. Trump that helped him win four years ago. I find this poll interesting because it is kind of its own thing that probably isn't factored into 538.

Here it is. Revised to make Iowa red.

I predict Texas is going blue just barely, at least with respect to the presidency and the Texas House. Several factors are coming together. I look at the Beto election and how close it came, and combine that with the current circumstances. Polls only giving Trump a little over +1 on 538 Voter registrations outpaced population growth by a good margin $$$ targeting Texas House and U.S. House elections combined with decent hauls from MJ and Biden investing a sizable amount; Bloomberg dumping $15 million in the last 2 weeks Record turn out Rural pro Trump margins will be slightly cut The virus has picked up again which has been correlated with less Trump support Texas economy has been hit helping Biden

I’m excited that we will finally get to know what we have in store for us for the next 4 years and believe it’s Biden, but I’m prepared to face Trump and watch the country crumble further if that’s our fate. Luckily I think Trump is about to have an end and at least I’ll know that Americans were sane enough to make him a 1 term president regardless of how insane things will remain going forward.

Never gets old.

Last Emerson poll was in May and was Trump leading 52-48. Emerson is rated an A- on 538.

All 9 justices of the Texas Supreme Court are Republican. I’m pleased this was tossed and the votes will be counted.